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Android Devices Predicted to Out Number Windows PCs by 2016

March 29th, 2012 | Posted by admin in Portability

Android Devices Predicted to Out Number Windows PCs by 2016

The analysts over at IDC (International Data Corporation) have made some bold predictions recently.  Most prominent is the prediction that sales of ‘smart devices’ (smart phones and tablet PCs) will more than double between now and the end of 2016.

According to official sales figures for 2011; 916 million ‘smart devices’ were shipped last year.  That’s just the tip of the iceberg it seems.  If you analyze computing technology trends over the past decade, you will see there has been a paradigm shift away from desktop computers, and towards mobile devices.  This shift has and will continue to put pressure on the sales of new desktop and laptop computers.

The IDC also predicts that in 2016, over 1.84 billion smartphones will be shipped (compared with 1.1 billion predicted for 2012), which is more than double the number shipped in 2011.  This trend represents a quite a flock to a device that didn’t even exist a decade ago.

Rise of Android

The IDC has also predicted that the Android OS will overtake Windows© as the software of choice for running mobile devices and computers.

Currently the market-share allocation for operating systems is Windows – 35.9% (based on x86 compatible CPUs), Android- 29.4% (based on the ARM CPU) and 14.9% – Apple’s iOS.

Whilst Apple may be getting headlines for pioneering technology, Android has gobbled up large market share over the last few years – and the IDC sees no reason for that to change anytime soon.

Current IDC predictions for market share in 2016 stand at Android – 31.1%, Windows – 25.1% and iOS – 17.3%.  If these figures come to fruition, this would be the first time in history that Windows © is overtaken by another operating system.

This shift is mostly attributed to the rapidly growing smartphone and tablet PC segments, however Google has also been recently making a splash with its ‘Chromebook’ ©.  Time will tell who will stay on top in the mobile market.



Nearly 1 Billion Smart Connected Devices Shipped in 2011 with Shipments Expected to Double by 2016, According to IDC.  (2012, March 28).  Retrieved from http://www.idc.com/getdoc.jsp?containerId=prUS23398412

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